Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 6.157473 6.867445 7.682571 8.701503 9.961683 11.498431 13.563234
2025-11-16 5.063806 5.961975 7.095965 8.685064 10.951820 14.252862 19.865462
2025-11-23 4.508267 5.497593 6.828896 8.854670 12.088463 17.600587 29.607169
2025-11-30 4.080561 5.096814 6.526725 8.838634 12.872168 20.761798 43.010205
2025-12-07 3.654832 4.629397 6.037396 8.400284 12.766222 22.168884 54.966487
2025-12-14 3.311753 4.237033 5.599622 7.950168 12.488328 23.056773 68.047138
2025-12-21 3.120079 4.042563 5.434542 7.923601 13.022902 26.314198 106.308814
2025-12-28 2.947079 3.857749 5.259620 7.843042 13.416375 29.562657 178.109197
2026-01-04 2.753244 3.625078 4.982600 7.528577 13.193799 30.746066 260.830576
2026-01-11 2.640136 3.507300 4.881565 7.530738 13.726704 35.261754 753.431728
2026-01-18 2.574736 3.457866 4.888164 7.742404 14.867905 44.092527 NaN
2026-01-25 2.707124 3.732729 5.485079 9.307380 20.758373 106.123298 NaN
2026-02-01 2.596080 3.612635 5.382799 9.373198 22.241533 156.298729 NaN
2026-02-08 2.446618 3.420666 5.133467 9.061734 22.248207 193.634607 NaN
2026-02-15 2.363896 3.335481 5.077137 9.212117 24.306975 386.553007 NaN
2026-02-22 2.271911 3.226939 4.962989 9.191656 25.672210 874.719111 NaN
2026-03-01 2.144915 3.049406 4.696850 8.724462 24.573226 978.122402 NaN
2026-03-08 2.026785 2.881589 4.438681 8.246073 23.235179 932.181352 NaN
2026-03-15 1.961271 2.802660 4.351994 8.217869 24.284768 4141.627706 NaN
2026-03-22 1.895720 2.719872 4.250541 8.132376 25.008101 NaN NaN
2026-03-29 1.812698 2.602042 4.069618 7.798973 24.104381 NaN NaN
2026-04-05 1.764988 2.545051 4.009554 7.801263 25.294464 NaN NaN
2026-04-12 1.738975 2.525454 4.024921 8.025621 28.238899 NaN NaN